Tuesday, 21 August, 2018

OH 12th Congressional District Special Election Results

Crystal ball time Where are we headed politically Getty Images
Jay Anderson | 08 August, 2018, 10:54

"I've worked in OH presidential and senate races for Republicans and the idea of #oh12 being a close race is sort of like hearing gravity is a regional phenomena", tweeted Republican strategist Stuart Stevens.

Ohio's 12th congressional district has been a Republican stronghold for decades, and Balderson's victory ensures that it will stay that way for the time being. Troy Balderson and Democratic Franklin County Recorder Danny O'Connor are battling for the open seat previously held by retired Rep. Even in voter interactions, Balderson left much to be desired.

"Voters in Ohio's 12th Congressional District picking a new congressman", King said on CNN's "Inside Politics".

Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to take control of the House, and Republicans are now defending dozens of districts that are more favorable to Democrats than Ohio's 12th District, which Trump in 2016 and Mitt Romney in 2012 both won by 11 percentage points. "Strong on Crime, Border & Military", the president tweeted on the eve of the election.

Should the polarizing Kobach win the primary, some Republican operatives fear he could lose the governor's seat to Democrats this fall.

"Kris Kobach, a strong and early supporter of mine, is running for Governor of the Great State of Kansas", Mr. Trump wrote Monday on Twitter. It's an enormous amount of exposure for their party and we don't see that for the Republican party.

The concern extends to Kobach's potential impact on two potentially competitive congressional races in Kansas, too - including Rep. Kevin Yoder's re-election bid in the 3rd District, a top Democratic target.

Balderson said simply that it was an honor and "incredible" to appear with and be supported by the president.




Several voters casting ballots in suburban Westerville Tuesday, both Democrat and Republican, said they saw little difference between the two candidates.

Just 20 minutes later, at 10:01 p.m. eastern, with 95 percent of precincts reporting, Balderson was back up for good by 741 votes.

His opponent's campaign was described by some analysts as "not serious".

The narrow margin will be little comfort for Republicans anxious about the prospect of a Democratic wave heading into the November 6 elections, and it is certain to encourage Democrats who performed dramatically better than expected in a district Republicans have represented since the early 1980s.

The pro-Balderson effort has focused largely on motivating Republican voters by casting O'Connor as extreme.

"A Republican loss well might tell us more". Three mainstream Democrats were among those vying for a chance at retiring Republican Rep. Dave Trott's seat in November. The field includes Fayrouz Saad, who would be the first Muslim woman in Congress. Two vulnerable Senate Democrats, Missouri's Claire McCaskill, and Michigan's Debbie Stabenow are facing challenges in their states. He'd join Sen. Tim Scott as the only black Republican senators if he did.

President Trump campaigned for Balderson, a 56-year-old state senator, this past weekend in an effort to energize the GOP base, but some Republicans anxious that the president's appearance could have had an adverse effect by motivating voters who don't like Trump to come out for O'Connor.

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